Belarus annexed by Putin? Lukashenko’s opponents: “They occupy us, a soft version of what can happen in Ukraine”

“Unprecedented political and social pressure from the West is accelerating the process of unification between Russia and Belarus.” President’s speech Russian President Vladimir Putindelivered at a conference and reported by The islandhighlight it Inclusion of Belarus It could be one of the consequences of the conflict in Ukraine. Minsk and Moscow are linked by a Treaty of Union, which has been in force since 1997, and which should facilitate the creation of joint political-military structures with a view to future reunification. President of the State of Belarus Alexander Lukashenkowho has been in power since 1994, has shown alternating interest in the initiative, but that changed starting in 2020, when Moscow backed Minsk in cracking down on crackdowns. Anti-government protests Following the disputed presidential election held in August. Lukashenko’s harsh response to the post-election protests turned him into an outcast on the world stage and forced him to secure greater economic and political influence for Moscow in the country, which was also achieved with the (unofficial) merger of the armies of the two countries.

The invasion of Ukraine also took off from Belarus: troops headed to Kyiv They started from military bases located outside the borders while the national territory was also used as a launching point for air and missile strikes. Lukashenko has always denied his desire to participate directly in the war and has tried to present himself as a Mediator, aware of the hostility shown by the population of Belarus towards the conflict. Belarus, which was born on the ruins of the Tsarist Empire after World War I, was one of the founding members of the Republic of Belarus.USSR. During the 1920s, with Moscow’s approval, local language and culture were promoted but these policies were interrupted by repression in the 1930s, when local cultural elites were eliminated. During World War II, Belarus suffered terribly, experiencing a rate of population loss among the highest in Europe. The war left deep wounds, but it served to solidify Belarus’ role within the Soviet Empire, also thanks to Investments Moscow in the country. The stability and prosperity of the past few decades made many Belarusians reluctant to confront the end of the Soviet Union and led to the establishment of close economic and political relations with Russia.

Many Belarusians considered Lukashenko a guarantor of stability and security and believed that even in the presence of free elections, his victory would be inevitable. The dangerous matter of the election and to torture Thousands of protesters who peacefully protested the results led to an irreparable loss of legitimacy. The campaign increased significantly, as did the number of political prisoners, with the transformation of journalists and independent media into targets. The penalties imposed byEuropean Union in agreement with United kingdom And the United State They hit the productive sectors and industrial entities and isolated Belarus. However, Minsk has raised the level of confrontation by causing a migration crisis at the borders Lithuania And the Poland And discard the balance between East and West. Frank ViacorcaAdviser to the leader of the Belarusian opposition Svyatlana TsykhanoskayaIt has been reported Atlantic Ocean That “in Belarus we are witnessing the soft version of what could happen in Ukraine,” and that “Belarus accepts the occupation.”

Poland and the Baltic states are concerned that Belarus is allowing Russian forces to get dangerously close to it and reach a strategy Suwalki . Pass. It is a 130 km strip of land that forms the only link between the Baltic states and the rest of the countries Boyseparates the pocket Kaliningrad from Belarus. The Suwalki Pass is one of the most dangerous places in the world and a potential first point of contact in the event of hostility between Russia and NATO. Possible entry of Finland And the Sweden In NATO increased tensions between Russia and the alliance however, according to reports Politician From Linas KoggalaD., director of the Center for Eastern European Studies, made a Russian move to Kaliningrad “less likely, though not excluded.”

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